The report covers the cement industry in Tunisia with a view on supply-demand trends and developments in the country, trade flows, new plant projects as well as an overview of the construction market. The current state of the cement market is discussed and a projection for volumes is provided through 2015.

Principal Contents

Table of Contents

Introduction......................................................................................4

Executive summary.......................................................................5

The economy and the construction sector..............................7

Economy..............................................................................................8

Figure: Economy and population.....................................................9

Trade................................................................................................9

2012 Budget...................................................................................10

Concerns.......................................................................................10

Economic Performance and Outlook..................................................11

Construction sector...........................................................................11

Figure: Construction sector and the economy..............................12

Housing..........................................................................................12

Infrastructure.................................................................................13

Table: Construction sector importance and growth.....................13

Projects..........................................................................................13

Cement market.............................................................................15

Market Overview...............................................................................15

Figure: Principal existing Plants...................................................17

Incumbent operations.........................................................................17

Société des Cimentos d'Enfida (Cementos Portland Valderrivas)................................................................ 17

Société des Ciments de Jbel Oust (Cimpor)...............................18

Société des Ciments de Gabès (Secil)........................................19

Société les Ciments Artificiels Tunisiens (Colacem)..................20

Société Tuniso-Andalouse of Ciment Blanc (Cementos Molins).21

Ciment Oum El Kelil (Government owned)...................................22

Ciments de Bizerte (Government owned).....................................22

Regional perspective.........................................................................23

Figure: Cement plant locations.....................................................24

Market shares................................................................................24

Figure: Market shares...................................................................25

Demand and supply.....................................................................26

Figure: 2005-2011 cement supply-demand balance....................26

Demand..............................................................................................27

Figure: 2005-2011E cement demand............................................27

Demand seasonality......................................................................28

Figure: 2008-2011E monthly cement demand..............................28

Cement trade......................................................................................28

Figure: Cement imports and exports............................................29

Imports...........................................................................................30

Figure: Cement & clinker imports: product types and evolution..30

Figure: Cement& clinker import countries....................................31

Figure: Import share......................................................................32

Exports...........................................................................................33

Figure: Cement Exports: product types and evolution..................33

Figure: Cement& clinker export countries....................................34

Cement supply...................................................................................34

Figure: 2005-2011E annual cement production............................35

Figure: 2005-2011E annual cement production per product type.. 36

Figure: 2008-2011E monthly cement production..........................37

Figure: CAPacity utilization (2006 – 2011E).................................38

Figure: Share of nameplate capacity............................................39

Expansion and greenfield projects....................................................39

Figure: Major upgrades and new plants........................................40

New capacity..................................................................................41

Figure: Nameplate cement production capacity (2005-2015E)....41

Figure: Cement production capacity (2005-2015E)......................42

Competitive dynamics........................................................................43

Fuel changes and petcoke............................................................43

Delivery: bag vs bulk.....................................................................44

Cement prices...............................................................................45

Figure: 2008-2011 indicative cement prices................................46

Outlook............................................................................................48

Figure: Apparent cement demand projection (2005-2015)...........48

Figure: Growth in apparent cement demand (2006-2015)............49

Next steps......................................................................................51

Data tables.....................................................................................52

Supply-demand balance (2005 – 2011E, mm tons)...........................52

Supply capacity market share (2009-2015E, %)...............................53

Imports by cement type (2005 – 2011E, tons)...................................54

Cement import countries (2005 – 2011E, tons)..................................56

Exports by cement type (2005 – 2011E, tons)..................................57

Cement export countries (2005 – 2011E, tons).................................58

Table: Cement plant capacities (2005 – 2015E, mm tons).................59

Disclaimers....................................................................................60

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Price:

Date:

62

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USD1850

May 2012





 

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